TJX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
$140.53
-0.16 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-7.61%
30d:
-8.44%
90d:
-10.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $160.06 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When TJX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TJX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TJX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.62
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TJX is currently trading at $140.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $148.93 to $159.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.3) compared to its historical average (30.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TJX scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.40 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TJX scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.40 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$148.93 -
$159.69
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TJX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($177.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$148.93 -
$159.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.31
Resistance Level
$160.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.26
Wall Street Target
$177.40
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.3%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 30.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.20
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$129.93
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$124.86
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$140.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$188.50
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$138.78
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$117.96
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$166.40
(+18%)
Analyst growth 4.7%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case
$151.27
(+8%)
Market implied 4.7%, PE stable at 29.3
Bear Case
$98.26
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 30.7
Stabilization Target:
$158.45
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TJX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ernie Herrman
SELL
30000 shares
2026-03-02
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$128 | 39 SELL |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$222 | 57 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$270 | 43 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$386 | 51 HOLD |
|
GAP
The Gap, Inc. |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$26 | 49 HOLD |
Advanced TJX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TJX price and gamma walls.
