TKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKC - TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
$5.52
0.14 (2.60%)
▲
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
-5.48%
90d:
-13.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.29
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKC is currently trading at $5.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.55 to $5.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 0.1) is in line with its historical norms (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.29, while resistance sits at $5.92.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.49 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.29, while resistance sits at $5.92.
Market Sentiment: TKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.49 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.55 -
$5.94
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($7.49)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.55 -
$5.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.29
Resistance Level
$5.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.11
Wall Street Target
$7.49
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.1 vs 0.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$5.24
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$5.10
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.81
(-13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 79.8%)
$3640.00
(+65842%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.1, Growth: 79.8%)
$18.63
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 79.8%)
$15.84
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$11.84
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$10.76
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$3.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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