Live out-of-sample tracking began 2026-07-31. Every result in the table below is measured forward from the day the cohort was published — nothing is retrofitted.
Before launch, an internal backtest of this exact ranking found the top-10 names beat the S&P 500 by +2.8% over 30 trading days and +3.2% over 60 trading days on average (8 cohorts, per-cohort hit rates of 50–71%). Those are backtested figures, not live results, and they are kept strictly separate from the live table below. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Live Cohort Results
| Cohort Date | Top-10 Return | Top-50 Return | SPY Return | Top-10 Alpha | Hit Rate | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 measured at day 0 | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | 0% | Live — day 0 |
| 2026-08-06 measured at day 1 | +0.99% | +1.48% | +0.61% | +0.38% | 40% | Live — day 1 |
| 2026-08-05 measured at day 2 | -1.71% | -0.26% | +0.45% | -2.16% | 30% | Live — day 2 |
| 2026-08-04 measured at day 3 | -4.39% | -1.67% | +0.25% | -4.64% | 30% | Live — day 3 |
| 2026-08-03 measured at day 4 | +0.65% | +1.47% | +2.06% | -1.41% | 70% | Live — day 4 |
| 2026-07-31 measured at 5d | +2.04% | +3.13% | +3.51% | -1.47% | 50% | Live — day 5 |
Alpha = top-10 average return minus SPY return over the same window. Hit rate = share of top-10 names that beat SPY. Unmatured cohorts show live day-N figures; matured cohorts are locked at the longest completed horizon.
Latest Cohort: Top 10
| Rank | Ticker | Composite Score | Entry Price |
|---|---|---|---|
1 |
PLTR | 90.5 | $172.01 |
2 |
DELL | 87.0 | $453.77 |
3 |
TGTX | 86.8 | $49.76 |
4 |
FTK | 84.6 | $35.42 |
5 |
CAI | 82.9 | $22.74 |
6 |
CRDO | 82.5 | $249.89 |
7 |
NVDA | 79.4 | $223.96 |
8 |
ATEX | 79.2 | $99.26 |
9 |
PTGX | 77.0 | $145.87 |
10 |
AXON | 75.8 | $571.01 |
How This Track Record Is Measured
The underlying ranking is the Tradestie Composite Score, built from five weighted components: earnings growth (25%), relative strength vs the S&P 500 (25%), revenue growth (20%), profitability (15%), and quality (15%), with a $1 billion+ market cap floor. Performance measurement rules:
- Each trading day's Top 50 is frozen as a cohort at that day's closing prices.
- Top-10 and Top-50 returns are equal-weight averages of the constituent stocks.
- Cohorts are evaluated at 5, 30, and 60 trading-day horizons against SPY over the same window.
- No transaction costs, slippage, taxes, or dividends are modeled.
- This is a research track record, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.