TRNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNO - Terreno Realty Corporation
$74.11
-0.95 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
+5.45%
30d:
+16.05%
90d:
+10.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.65
Based on -3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.75
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNO is currently trading at $74.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.77 to $71.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.6) is in line with its historical norms (40.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.30, while resistance sits at $78.94.
Market Sentiment: TRNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.30, while resistance sits at $78.94.
Market Sentiment: TRNO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.77 -
$71.21
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
TRNO is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.06)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.77 -
$71.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.18
(2.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.30
Resistance Level
$78.94
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.56
Wall Street Target
$71.06
(-4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.2%
Profit Margin
86.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
42.6 vs 40.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$76.20
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$77.27
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→41)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.6, Growth: -10.5%)
$54.03
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: -10.5%)
$26.60
(-64%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: -10.5%)
$22.61
(-70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.10
Bull Case
$41.28
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$37.53
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$51.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 21, 2026 3:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRNO price and gamma walls.
