UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$64.08
0.28 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
+4.06%
90d:
+9.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.92
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $64.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.51 to $63.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.90, while resistance sits at $67.44.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.65 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.90, while resistance sits at $67.44.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.65 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$60.51 -
$63.90
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.65)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 0.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.51 -
$63.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.90
Resistance Level
$67.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.84
Wall Street Target
$73.65
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.14
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$64.21
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$64.27
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$86.76
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$78.87
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$67.04
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97
Bull Case
$79.86
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.5%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$72.60
(+13%)
Market implied 14.5%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$43.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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