UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$59.25
1.55 (2.69%)
▲
5d:
+0.95%
30d:
+2.65%
90d:
-2.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.91
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $59.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.18 to $58.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.73 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.73 (+12.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.18 -
$58.50
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($66.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.18 -
$58.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.75
Resistance Level
$58.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.66
Wall Street Target
$66.73
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.95
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$56.67
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$55.42
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$59.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$86.92
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 6.0%)
$70.49
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$59.92
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.01
Bull Case
$70.74
(+19%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$64.31
(+9%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$39.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$63.40
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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