Unilever (UL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$61.82
-0.40 (-0.64%)
βΌ
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
-2.15%
90d:
+5.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π MIXED SIGNALS: UL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
π MIXED SIGNALS: UL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.92
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $61.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.05 to $64.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.06 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.06 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.05 -
$64.50
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.06)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.05 -
$64.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.52
Resistance Level
$64.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.18
Wall Street Target
$73.06
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.20
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$60.59
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$59.98
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18β19)
$62.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$84.54
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 7.2%)
$76.09
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 7.2%)
$64.67
(+5%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$78.89
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$71.72
(+16%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$42.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$63.93
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 20, 2026 9:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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