Unilever (UL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$62.26
0.32 (0.52%)
â˛
5d:
+4.29%
30d:
+1.02%
90d:
+1.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.24
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $62.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.90 to $63.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.58 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.58 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.90 -
$63.66
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.90 -
$63.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.22
Resistance Level
$62.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.31
Wall Street Target
$71.58
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$61.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$60.96
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$62.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.0%)
$78.07
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 5.0%)
$71.97
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 5.0%)
$61.18
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$46.80
(-25%)
Analyst growth -31.3%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$42.55
(-32%)
Market implied -31.3%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$42.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$63.59
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 10:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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