UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$60.84
-0.64 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-3.03%
30d:
+4.32%
90d:
+4.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.60
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $60.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.00 to $61.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.47 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.47 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$58.00 -
$61.54
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.00 -
$61.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.75
Resistance Level
$58.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.83
Wall Street Target
$68.47
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$58.67
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$57.61
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$60.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$93.32
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 7.9%)
$76.41
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$64.95
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$78.52
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$71.38
(+17%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$41.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$64.14
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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