VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$14.03
0.48 (3.54%)
▲
5d:
+5.65%
30d:
+6.53%
90d:
-16.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.57
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.87
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $14.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.89 to $13.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.6) is in line with its historical norms (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $13.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $13.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.89 -
$13.54
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.13)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.89 -
$13.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.66
Resistance Level
$13.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.62
Wall Street Target
$15.13
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 2.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.99
(0%)
2-Year Target
$13.95
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$13.90
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.77
(-2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$213.16
(+1419%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 22.3%)
$25.69
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$21.84
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$29.81
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$27.10
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$9.21
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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