VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$11.85
-0.07 (-0.59%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.34%
30d:
+2.33%
90d:
-10.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VIV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VIV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.10
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.10
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $11.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.31 to $12.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.17 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.31 -
$12.15
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($15.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.31 -
$12.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.21
Resistance Level
$12.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.20
Wall Street Target
$15.17
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.27
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.72
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.19
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$12.04
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.2%)
$157.67
(+1231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 13.2%)
$17.20
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$14.62
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$26.22
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$23.84
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$8.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.00
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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