VIV
Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)
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VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.90
-0.38 (-3.09%)
âŧ
5d:
+5.12%
30d:
-3.41%
90d:
+4.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$11.43 â $12.67
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.2x
CHEAP
vs 2.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.73
+15.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.96 / $12.47
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VIV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.61
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.17
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $11.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.43 to $12.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.96, while resistance sits at $12.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.73 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.96, while resistance sits at $12.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.73 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.43 -
$12.67
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.43 -
$12.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$10.96
Resistance Level
$12.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.22
Wall Street Target
$13.73
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.04
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.63
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$11.99
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$149.11
(+1153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$16.64
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$14.14
(+19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$27.02
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$24.56
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$8.35
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.43
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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