VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$11.54
0.18 (1.58%)
â˛
5d:
-0.52%
30d:
-2.37%
90d:
-14.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VIV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VIV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.29
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.60
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $11.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.47 to $11.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.17, while resistance sits at $12.23.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.84 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.17, while resistance sits at $12.23.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.84 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.47 -
$11.91
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($14.84)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.47 -
$11.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.17
Resistance Level
$12.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.14
Wall Street Target
$14.84
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.92
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.33
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$9.77
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$11.40
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$159.46
(+1282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$16.75
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$14.24
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$24.99
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$22.72
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$7.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.46
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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