VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$11.43
0.20 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
-16.57%
90d:
-18.88%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.09
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.09
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $11.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.64 to $13.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.91 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.91 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.64 -
$13.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($14.91)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.64 -
$13.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.18
Resistance Level
$11.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.12
Wall Street Target
$14.91
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.68
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.97
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.31
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$11.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$156.80
(+1272%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$16.59
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$14.10
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$24.71
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$22.46
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$7.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.99
(+22.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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