VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$12.72
-0.20 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-9.85%
30d:
-4.0%
90d:
-19.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.41
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $12.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.08 to $13.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.4) is in line with its historical norms (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.41 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.41 (+21.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.08 -
$13.92
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($15.41)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.08 -
$13.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.63
Resistance Level
$14.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.37
Wall Street Target
$15.41
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 2.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.27
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.85
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$11.43
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$12.53
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$146.77
(+1054%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$16.79
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$14.27
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$28.42
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$25.84
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$8.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.95
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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