VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$32.81
0.68 (2.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+14.64%
90d:
-6.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.89
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $32.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.81 to $31.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.70 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.81 -
$31.01
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($39.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.81 -
$31.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.77
Resistance Level
$33.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.85
Wall Street Target
$39.70
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.99
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$31.19
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$30.41
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$32.65
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$98.77
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$42.16
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$35.84
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$46.31
(+41%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$42.10
(+28%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$21.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$35.23
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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