VOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VOD - Vodafone Group PLC

Radiotelephone Communications
$15.47
0.75 (5.10%) ▲
5d: +18.27%
30d: +2.79%
90d: -1.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.85
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $15.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.38 to $15.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: VOD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.57. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.38 - $15.02
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 18.7% above Wall St target ($12.57)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 7.3% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.38 - $15.02
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.61
Resistance Level $15.26
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.14
Wall Street Target $12.57 (-18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 20.1 vs 19.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.73 (+2%)
2-Year Target $16.00 (+3%)
3-Year Target $16.27 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $15.43 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -26.2%) $12.19 (+-21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -26.2%) $11.28 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -26.2%) $9.59 (-38%)
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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