VOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VOD - Vodafone Group PLC

Radiotelephone Communications
$15.96
-0.05 (-0.31%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.8%
30d: +4.66%
90d: +5.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: VOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.98
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $15.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.43 to $16.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VOD scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.89. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $15.43 - $16.17
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 43.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 13.0% above Wall St target ($13.89)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.43 - $16.17
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.74
Resistance Level $16.44
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.78
Wall Street Target $13.89 (-13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 20.8 vs 19.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.33 (+2%)
2-Year Target $16.70 (+5%)
3-Year Target $17.09 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→19) PE COMPRESSION $15.95 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.8, Growth: -26.2%) $11.63 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -26.2%) $11.24 (-30%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -26.2%) $9.55 (-40%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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