WDH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDH - Waterdrop Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive 10 Class A Ordinary Shares)
$1.20
-0.04 (-3.23%)
▼
5d:
-14.29%
30d:
-21.57%
90d:
-26.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WDH is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: WDH is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.48
51.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDH is currently trading at $1.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.41 to $1.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.6) compared to its historical average (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.11 (+75.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.11 (+75.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.41 -
$1.56
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 75.5% below Wall St target ($2.11)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.41 -
$1.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.40
Resistance Level
$1.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.64
Wall Street Target
$2.11
(+75.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.6 vs 1.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.97
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$1.50
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 65.0%)
$137.22
(+11335%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.6, Growth: 65.0%)
$4.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.5, Growth: 65.0%)
$3.44
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$2.73
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case
$2.48
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$0.84
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.6 to 1.1
Stabilization Target:
$2.05
(+71.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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