WGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WGO - Winnebago Industries, Inc.
$31.29
1.01 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
+0.42%
90d:
-2.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.42
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WGO is currently trading at $31.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.80 to $31.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.77, while resistance sits at $32.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.77, while resistance sits at $32.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$29.80 -
$31.47
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($38.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -9.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.80 -
$31.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.77
Resistance Level
$32.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.09
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.73
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$32.17
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$32.62
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 32.5%)
$115.19
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 32.5%)
$72.73
(+132%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 32.5%)
$61.82
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$58.55
(+87%)
Analyst growth 75.8%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$53.22
(+70%)
Market implied 75.8%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$20.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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