WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$386.74
1.30 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-8.26%
30d:
-0.65%
90d:
-12.92%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WINA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WINA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.76
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $386.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $386.74 to $419.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.0) is in line with its historical norms (32.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+40.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+40.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$386.74 -
$419.10
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.9% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$386.74 -
$419.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$366.44
Resistance Level
$393.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.03
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+40.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.0 vs 32.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$376.68
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$366.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$357.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→33)
$386.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$492.85
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$357.50
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$303.87
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.09
Bull Case
$492.42
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$447.65
(+16%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$262.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.0 to 32.5
Stabilization Target:
$418.60
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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