WRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WRB - W.R. Berkley Corporation

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$68.60
-0.58 (-0.84%) ▼
5d: -2.71%
30d: -6.58%
90d: +1.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 19, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WRB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.22
Based on -39.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WRB is currently trading at $68.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.82 to $73.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: WRB scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $69.82 - $73.85
Company Quality Score 70/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.53)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.82 - $73.85
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $68.49
Resistance Level $71.38
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.32
Wall Street Target $69.53 (+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 15.0%
Profit Margin 12.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 14.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.97 (0%)
2-Year Target $68.77 (-1%)
3-Year Target $68.56 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→15) $69.41 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -83.8%) $94.53 (+37%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -83.8%) $67.46 (-3%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: -83.8%) $57.34 (-17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.86
Bull Case $76.10 (+11%)
Analyst growth -0.6%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case $69.19 (+1%)
Market implied -0.6%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $47.33 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 14.5
Stabilization Target: $70.04 (+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.2%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-18
Sumitomo Insurance Co L … BUY 112176 shares 2026-03-03
Sumitomo Insurance Co L … BUY 146000 shares 2026-03-02

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