YSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YSG - Yatsen Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each representing twenty (20) Class A Ordinary Shares
$3.00
0.02 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-11.76%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
+25.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: YSG is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: YSG is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.64
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YSG is currently trading at $3.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.13 to $3.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.0) is in line with its historical norms (1.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.84, while resistance sits at $3.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.04 (+34.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YSG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.84, while resistance sits at $3.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.04 (+34.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.13 -
$3.52
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($4.04)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.13 -
$3.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.84
Resistance Level
$3.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.00
Wall Street Target
$4.04
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.91
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$2.87
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$2.88
(-4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 92.9%)
$203.89
(+6696%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 92.9%)
$10.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 92.9%)
$8.61
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.0
Stabilization Target:
$3.01
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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