Is Z stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, Z is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of Z stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for Z to be between $32.10 and $35.42. The current price is $35.88.

What is the analyst price target for Z?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for Z is $46.00. This implies a potential upside of 28.8% from current levels.

Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$35.88

0.16 (0.45%) ▲

5d: +3.16%

30d: +21.3%

90d: -2.37%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: Z shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$96.16

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$59.71

39.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $35.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.10 to $35.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.50, while resistance sits at $37.41.

Market Sentiment: Z scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $32.10 - $35.42

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($46.00)
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.10 - $35.42

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.50

Resistance Level $37.41

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.80

Wall Street Target $46.00 (+28.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 533.3%

Profit Margin 2.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 17.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $32.15 (-10%)

2-Year Target $28.93 (-19%)

3-Year Target $26.04 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→18) $36.00 (+1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.4%) $110.44 (+209%)

Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 25.4%) $70.46 (+97%)

Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 25.4%) $59.89 (+68%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 15.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.29

Bull Case $43.33 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.4

Base Case $35.88 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.7

Bear Case $27.45 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 17.7

Stabilization Target: $49.38 (+38.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +38.2%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM

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