ZUMZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZUMZ - Zumiez Inc.
$19.11
1.11 (6.17%)
▲
5d:
+10.4%
30d:
-20.21%
90d:
-12.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ZUMZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZUMZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ZUMZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.41
39.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZUMZ is currently trading at $19.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.13 to $23.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (24.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.09, while resistance sits at $25.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZUMZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.09, while resistance sits at $25.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ZUMZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.13 -
$23.82
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.13 -
$23.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.09
Resistance Level
$25.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.80
Wall Street Target
$21.00
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.1%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 24.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.26
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.07
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$19.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.3%)
$64.56
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 40.3%)
$52.78
(+176%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 40.3%)
$44.86
(+135%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$28.34
(+48%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$25.76
(+35%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$12.24
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 24.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.97
(+35.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ZUMZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chris K Visser
SELL
9974 shares
2026-04-01
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$178 | 68 BUY |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$132 | 55 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$256 | 61 BUY |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$225 | 62 BUY |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$367 | 62 BUY |
