Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$31.05
0.25 (0.81%)
â˛
5d:
+13.94%
30d:
-6.81%
90d:
-17.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.42
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $31.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.75 to $33.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $32.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $32.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.75 -
$33.42
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.75 -
$33.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.73
Resistance Level
$32.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.05
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 3.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.60
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$34.23
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$35.94
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 327.9%)
$513.43
(+1554%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 327.9%)
$104.79
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 327.9%)
$89.07
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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