Advantage Solutions (ADV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$30.80
0.52 (1.72%)
â˛
5d:
+12.53%
30d:
-7.56%
90d:
-23.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.42
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $30.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.83 to $33.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (3.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $31.96.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+36.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.73, while resistance sits at $31.96.
Market Sentiment: ADV scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.00 (+36.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.83 -
$33.43
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($42.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.83 -
$33.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.73
Resistance Level
$31.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.02
Wall Street Target
$42.00
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 3.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.25
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$33.76
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$35.35
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 327.9%)
$513.43
(+1567%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 327.9%)
$103.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 327.9%)
$88.36
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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