ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$143.25
9.06 (6.75%)
▲
5d:
+5.21%
30d:
+22.53%
90d:
-15.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $131.11 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.09
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $143.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.66 to $132.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (44.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $143.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.56 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $143.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.56 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$116.66 -
$132.21
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($173.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.66 -
$132.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.12
Resistance Level
$143.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.45
Wall Street Target
$173.56
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-34.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 44.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-34.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$116.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$104.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→45)
$374.00
(+161%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -29.2%)
$228.84
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: -29.2%)
$142.00
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -29.2%)
$120.70
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.95
Bull Case
$172.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$143.25
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$109.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 44.6
Stabilization Target:
$513.02
(+258.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+258.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
