ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ALB - Albemarle Corporation

PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
$125.74
-0.31 (-0.25%) ▼
5d: -6.02%
30d: -14.59%
90d: -27.59%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 22d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$400.50
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$248.68
49.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $125.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.10 to $164.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (51.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 42.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $204.46 (+62.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $134.10 - $164.89
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 62.2% below Wall St target ($204.46)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $134.10 - $164.89
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $124.58
Resistance Level $139.88
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.69
Wall Street Target $204.46 (+62.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.2%
Profit Margin -4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -42.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.7 vs 51.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -42.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $113.44 (-10%)
2-Year Target $102.10 (-19%)
3-Year Target $91.89 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→52) $488.46 (+288%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.5%) $323.06 (+156%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 4.5%) $143.71 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 8.2, Growth: 4.5%) $122.15 (-3%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 51.5
Stabilization Target: $670.04 (+431.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +431.6%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 12:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters SELL 11783 shares 2026-03-10

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