ECL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECL - Ecolab, Inc.
$281.63
0.15 (0.05%)
â˛
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
+7.03%
90d:
+12.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ECL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ECL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$370.91
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$230.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $281.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.29 to $283.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.9) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $273.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.95 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $273.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $324.95 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$270.29 -
$283.58
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ECL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($324.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$270.29 -
$283.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$273.33
Resistance Level
$286.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.92
Wall Street Target
$324.95
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.9 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$283.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$285.02
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$286.73
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30â29)
PE COMPRESSION
$281.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$430.72
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$288.91
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$245.57
(-13%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.35
Bull Case
$396.51
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.1%, PE expands to 42.1
Base Case
$360.46
(+28%)
Market implied 28.1%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$191.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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BUY
2026-03-23
Tracy B Mckibben
SELL
1265 shares
2026-02-25
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Advanced ECL Option Strategies
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