ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$36.73
1.11 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
-19.7%
90d:
-13.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.98
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $36.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.66 to $44.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.10, while resistance sits at $39.31. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.75 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.10, while resistance sits at $39.31. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.75 (+27.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.66 -
$44.94
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($46.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.66 -
$44.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.10
Resistance Level
$39.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.75
Wall Street Target
$46.75
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.9%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.14
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$35.86
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$36.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.9%)
$65.03
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 14.9%)
$55.67
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 14.9%)
$47.32
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$78.36
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.0
Base Case
$71.24
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.1
Bear Case
$24.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.66
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Stanley Oneal
SELL
143564 shares
2026-02-20
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