ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$35.31
-0.23 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
-9.02%
30d:
-7.81%
90d:
-12.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.46
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.92
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $35.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.35 to $39.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.75 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.75 (+32.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.35 -
$39.02
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($46.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.35 -
$39.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.21
Resistance Level
$39.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.96
Wall Street Target
$46.75
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.9%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 18.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.50
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.70
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$32.93
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$35.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.0%)
$63.53
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 15.0%)
$53.69
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 15.0%)
$45.64
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$78.19
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.8
Base Case
$71.08
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.0
Bear Case
$24.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.89
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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