AN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$209.41
1.00 (0.48%)
â˛
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
+0.2%
90d:
+8.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$325.79
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $209.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.29 to $215.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 138.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $206.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.69 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $206.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.69 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$197.29 -
$215.88
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($246.69)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$197.29 -
$215.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$206.04
Resistance Level
$223.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.47
Wall Street Target
$246.69
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
138.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.94
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$206.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$205.04
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$210.70
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.4%)
$730.25
(+249%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.4%)
$305.62
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 13.4%)
$259.78
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.55
Bull Case
$263.12
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.8%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$239.20
(+14%)
Market implied 14.8%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$141.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$215.18
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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