AutoNation (AN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$155.32
-0.12 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
-24.45%
90d:
-23.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$300.50
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$186.59
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $155.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.98 to $193.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 138.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AN scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $226.75 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AN scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $226.75 (+46.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$153.98 -
$193.30
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.0% below Wall St target ($226.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 32% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.98 -
$193.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.86
Resistance Level
$167.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.50
Wall Street Target
$226.75
(+46.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
138.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.43
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$130.61
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$119.77
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$154.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$682.18
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$223.26
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$189.77
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.86
Bull Case
$186.91
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$169.92
(+9%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$105.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$200.73
(+29.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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