APi Group (APG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APG - APi Group Corporation
$40.62
0.23 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
+9.43%
90d:
-1.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.33
31.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APG is currently trading at $40.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.40 to $40.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.45 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.45 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.40 -
$40.22
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($52.45)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.40 -
$40.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.29
Resistance Level
$41.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.36
Wall Street Target
$52.45
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 24.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.18
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$35.89
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$33.74
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$40.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 105.7%)
$137.09
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 105.7%)
$133.70
(+229%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 105.7%)
$113.64
(+180%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 24.6
Stabilization Target:
$49.07
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APG price and gamma walls.
