APG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APG - APi Group Corporation
$43.95
0.47 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
+5.35%
30d:
+7.64%
90d:
-0.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When APG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.19
27.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APG is currently trading at $43.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.50 to $42.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APG scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.36 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APG scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.36 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.50 -
$42.44
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.36)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.50 -
$42.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.05
Resistance Level
$44.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.07
Wall Street Target
$52.36
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 25.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.80
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$39.75
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$37.80
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$43.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 105.5%)
$148.33
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 105.5%)
$135.94
(+209%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 105.5%)
$115.55
(+163%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$50.97
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is APG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin E Franklin
SELL
3000000 shares
2026-03-19
Ian G H Ashken
SELL
72546 shares
2026-03-04
James E Lillie
SELL
83629 shares
2026-03-04
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$767 | 47 HOLD |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$427 | 50 HOLD |
|
DY
Dycom Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$637 | 55 HOLD |
|
PRIM
Primoris Services Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$122 | 52 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$99 | 38 SELL |
Advanced APG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APG price and gamma walls.
