What is the fair value of APH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for APH to be between $78.54 and $86.49. The current price is $82.08.

What is the analyst price target for APH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for APH is $102.97. This implies a potential upside of 25.5% from current levels.

Amphenol (APH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APH - Amphenol Corporation

ELECTRONIC CONNECTORS

$82.08

1.12 (1.38%) ▲

5d: +12.33%

30d: -2.63%

90d: +2.15%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your APH Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $81.42 · last confirmed Oct 29, 2026

Strength: 8.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APH trades at premium valuation expecting 15.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

APH is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; APH has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-29.

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 24.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$100.46

Based on 14.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$62.38

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $82.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.54 to $86.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.97 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $78.54 - $86.49

Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 71.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($102.97)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.8% growth which is achievable
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.54 - $86.49

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $71.44

Resistance Level $83.87

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 29, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.62

Wall Street Target $102.97 (+25.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 59.3%

Profit Margin 17.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +15.8% premium

PE vs Historical 24.6 vs 15.8 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +15.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $95.05 (+16%)

2-Year Target $110.07 (+34%)

3-Year Target $127.46 (+55%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→16) PE COMPRESSION $81.81 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.6, Growth: 24.0%) $156.45 (+91%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.0%) $126.22 (+54%)

Bear: (PE: 15.8, Growth: 24.0%) $100.42 (+22%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 39.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07

Bull Case $143.45 (+75%)

Analyst growth 61.1%, PE expands to 43.0

Base Case $130.41 (+59%)

Market implied 61.1%, PE stable at 39.1

Bear Case $55.05 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 29, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APH price and gamma walls.

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