Is APH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, APH is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: APH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of APH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for APH to be between $153.17 and $167.88. The current price is $157.74.

What is the analyst price target for APH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for APH is $192.12. This implies a potential upside of 21.8% from current levels.

APH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APH - Amphenol Corporation

ELECTRONIC CONNECTORS

$157.74

-3.64 (-2.26%) ▼

5d: +0.46%

30d: -1.3%

90d: +6.04%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your APH Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $166.90 · last confirmed Aug 25, 2026

Strength: 7.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 21.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$294.73

Based on 12.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$183.01

13.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APH is currently trading at $157.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.17 to $167.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $151.50, while resistance sits at $172.06.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $192.12 (+21.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $153.17 - $167.88

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($192.12)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $153.17 - $167.88

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $151.50

Resistance Level $172.06

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.35

Wall Street Target $192.12 (+21.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 59.3%

Profit Margin 17.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 24.4 vs 28.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $150.48 (-5%)

2-Year Target $143.56 (-9%)

3-Year Target $136.96 (-13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→28) $157.47 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.4, Growth: 21.8%) $285.26 (+81%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.8%) $235.10 (+49%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 21.8%) $199.83 (+27%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 40.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00

Bull Case $287.46 (+82%)

Analyst growth 61.9%, PE expands to 44.4

Base Case $261.33 (+66%)

Market implied 61.9%, PE stable at 40.3

Bear Case $109.74 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 28.0

Stabilization Target: $181.37 (+15.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +15.0%

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Last updated: August 30, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM

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Advanced APH Option Strategies

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