Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$17.87
0.27 (1.56%)
▲
5d:
+3.99%
30d:
-2.91%
90d:
-15.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.63
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $17.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.40 to $18.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.50 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.40 -
$18.56
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($22.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.40 -
$18.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.70
Resistance Level
$18.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.19
Wall Street Target
$22.50
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.64
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.70
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$17.75
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: -9.2%)
$13.16
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$9.98
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -9.2%)
$8.48
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$16.84
(-4%)
Analyst growth -10.5%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$15.31
(-13%)
Market implied -10.5%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$11.63
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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