BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$21.05
0.30 (1.45%)
▲
5d:
+1.25%
30d:
+3.14%
90d:
+12.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BNL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.26
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $21.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.11 to $20.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.8) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.11 -
$20.82
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.11 -
$20.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.27
Resistance Level
$21.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.84
Wall Street Target
$22.33
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.09
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$21.13
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$21.18
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 4.8%)
$24.21
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.8%)
$20.40
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.8%)
$17.34
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$28.37
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$25.79
(+24%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$13.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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