BV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BV - BrightView Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

Agricultural Services
$11.50
0.15 (1.32%) ▲
5d: +1.77%
30d: -18.96%
90d: -10.02%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BV trades at premium valuation expecting 5.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.86
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BV is currently trading at $11.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.18 to $14.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.42, while resistance sits at $11.86.

Market Sentiment: BV scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.45 (+34.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.18 - $14.70
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($15.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.4% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.18 - $14.70
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.42
Resistance Level $11.86
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.83
Wall Street Target $15.45 (+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.3%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.4% premium
PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 16.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.12 (+5%)
2-Year Target $12.78 (+11%)
3-Year Target $13.47 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→16) PE COMPRESSION $11.51 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.7%) $22.12 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 21.7%) $20.72 (+80%)
Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 21.7%) $17.61 (+53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.59
Bull Case $13.89 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case $11.50 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case $8.80 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 19, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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