BZH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New

OPERATIVE BUILDERS
$31.49
-0.40 (-1.25%) ▼
5d: +13.52%
30d: +19.28%
90d: +45.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BZH is 10.7% above its trading range ($28.44). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.77
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $31.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.13 to $28.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BZH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.13 - $28.44
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.7% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 20.6% above Wall St target ($25.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 21.3% growth with -27.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.13 - $28.44
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.15
Resistance Level $32.41
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.52
Wall Street Target $25.00 (-20.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin -0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +21.3% premium
PE vs Historical 18.5 vs 10.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +21.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.20 (+21%)
2-Year Target $46.33 (+47%)
3-Year Target $56.20 (+79%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→10) PE COMPRESSION $31.55 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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