BZH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New
$26.42
-0.07 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
+10.02%
90d:
+36.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BZH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BZH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $26.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.77 to $27.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $25.51, while resistance sits at $28.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $25.51, while resistance sits at $28.01.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.77 -
$27.20
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($25.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.1% growth with -27.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.77 -
$27.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.87
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.51
Resistance Level
$28.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.58
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 9.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.01
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$36.31
(+37%)
3-Year Target
$42.52
(+61%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BZH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BZH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BZH price and gamma walls.
