CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$29.01
-0.52 (-1.76%)
▼
5d:
+6.54%
30d:
-4.13%
90d:
-39.86%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLFD trades at premium valuation expecting 11.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CLFD trades at premium valuation expecting 11.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $29.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.79 to $31.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (23.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.66, while resistance sits at $30.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+38.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.66, while resistance sits at $30.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+38.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.79 -
$31.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($40.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.6% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.79 -
$31.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.66
Resistance Level
$30.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.41
Wall Street Target
$40.25
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.1%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.6% premium
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 23.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.38
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$36.13
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$40.32
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.4, Growth: 108.1%)
$97.91
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 108.1%)
$60.71
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 108.1%)
$51.61
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.12
Bull Case
$35.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$29.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$22.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 01, 2026 4:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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