CLFD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CLFD - Clearfield, Inc.
$28.77
0.52 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
-3.71%
30d:
-14.73%
90d:
-36.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLFD trades at premium valuation expecting 10.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CLFD trades at premium valuation expecting 10.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CLFD is currently trading at $28.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.69 to $31.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.6) compared to its historical average (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.66, while resistance sits at $30.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CLFD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.66, while resistance sits at $30.75.
Market Sentiment: CLFD scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+42.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.69 -
$31.26
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.5% below Wall St target ($40.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.6% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.69 -
$31.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.66
Resistance Level
$30.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.56
Wall Street Target
$40.25
(+42.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.1%
Profit Margin
-4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.6% premium
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 23.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.24
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$34.56
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$38.22
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 108.1%)
$95.34
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 108.1%)
$60.71
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 108.1%)
$51.61
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.09
Bull Case
$34.11
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$28.25
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$21.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CLFD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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