CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$127.12
-0.28 (-0.22%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-1.37%
90d:
+9.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.58
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $127.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.29 to $128.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $125.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.07 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $125.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $140.07 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$126.29 -
$128.97
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($140.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.29 -
$128.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$125.82
Resistance Level
$130.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$140.07
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.31
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$135.65
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$140.12
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$126.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$243.83
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$171.85
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$146.07
(+15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.53
Bull Case
$227.96
(+79%)
Analyst growth 62.7%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$207.24
(+63%)
Market implied 62.7%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$86.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 26, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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