CNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNI - Canadian National Railway
$120.56
0.20 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+6.29%
30d:
+1.64%
90d:
+18.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.06
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNI is currently trading at $120.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.63 to $119.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.63 -
$119.95
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.80)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.5% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.63 -
$119.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.50
Resistance Level
$120.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.77
Wall Street Target
$115.80
(-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
27.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.78
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$129.15
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$133.67
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$263.77
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$166.79
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$141.77
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.36
Bull Case
$208.23
(+73%)
Analyst growth 63.3%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$189.30
(+57%)
Market implied 63.3%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$78.82
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 5:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNI price and gamma walls.
