Cricut (CRCT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRCT - Cricut, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
$5.54
-0.31 (-5.30%) ▼
5d: -4.48%
30d: -8.73%
90d: +33.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRCT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.59
Based on -14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRCT is currently trading at $5.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.11 to $6.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRCT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $4.07. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $5.11 - $6.00
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 25th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 26.6% above Wall St target ($4.07)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.11 - $6.00
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.65 (11.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.52
Resistance Level $5.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.44
Wall Street Target $4.07 (-26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 69.4%
Profit Margin 12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.4 vs 25.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.39 (-3%)
2-Year Target $5.24 (-5%)
3-Year Target $5.10 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→26) $5.55 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.4, Growth: -32.5%) $4.04 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -32.5%) $3.48 (-37%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: -32.5%) $2.96 (-47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case $3.71 (-33%)
Analyst growth -42.4%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case $3.37 (-39%)
Market implied -42.4%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $3.98 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 25.5
Stabilization Target: $6.03 (+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.8%
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Last updated: September 05, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CRCT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRCT price and gamma walls.

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