Criteo (CRTO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$14.89
-0.18 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-12.87%
90d:
-35.06%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRTO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.57
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $14.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.11 to $17.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.28, while resistance sits at $15.85.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.28, while resistance sits at $15.85.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.15 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.11 -
$17.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($20.15)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.11 -
$17.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.28
Resistance Level
$15.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.84
Wall Street Target
$20.15
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 4.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.47
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$14.07
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$13.67
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$14.96
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$106.51
(+615%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$20.59
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 11.4%)
$17.50
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$32.80
(+120%)
Analyst growth 97.9%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$29.82
(+100%)
Market implied 97.9%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$10.25
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.29
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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