CRTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRTO - Criteo S.A.
$19.00
0.79 (4.34%)
▲
5d:
+3.37%
30d:
-17.14%
90d:
+18.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRTO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CRTO trades at premium valuation expecting 5.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.62
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRTO is currently trading at $19.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.86 to $22.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (4.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.42, while resistance sits at $22.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRTO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.42, while resistance sits at $22.56. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRTO scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.86 -
$22.97
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.86 -
$22.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.42
Resistance Level
$22.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.81
Wall Street Target
$20.69
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 4.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.01
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$21.07
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$22.18
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.89
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$122.74
(+546%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$29.21
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$24.83
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$37.12
(+95%)
Analyst growth 85.3%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$33.74
(+78%)
Market implied 85.3%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$12.38
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Der Kooi Frederik Van
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
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