CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$111.68
-1.79 (-1.58%)
▼
5d:
-8.03%
30d:
+1.84%
90d:
-3.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $112.30 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CSCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.24
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $111.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.79 to $119.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $110.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.59 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $110.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.59 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.79 -
$119.98
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.59)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.79 -
$119.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.06
Resistance Level
$124.71
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.29
Wall Street Target
$132.59
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.26
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$121.03
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$125.99
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$111.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$157.36
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$136.70
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$116.20
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.05
Bull Case
$196.26
(+76%)
Analyst growth 57.2%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$178.42
(+60%)
Market implied 57.2%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$77.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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Advanced CSCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSCO price and gamma walls.
