HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$113.97
1.72 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
+5.39%
30d:
+19.98%
90d:
+71.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.16
Based on -11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $113.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.75 to $107.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 350.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $102.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $102.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$91.75 -
$107.48
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
Protect Your Profits
DINO is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.2% above Wall St target ($102.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.75 -
$107.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.12
Resistance Level
$114.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$102.33
(-10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
350.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.10
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$106.35
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$102.74
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$114.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -26.0%)
$174.04
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -26.0%)
$83.08
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -26.0%)
$70.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.01
Bull Case
$132.61
(+16%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$120.56
(+6%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$76.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$126.53
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 17, 2026 12:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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