Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$11.64
-0.14 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
-6.66%
90d:
-22.19%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.89
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.83
21.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $11.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.68 to $12.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.09 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.09 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.68 -
$12.44
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($16.09)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.68 -
$12.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.42
Resistance Level
$12.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.10
Wall Street Target
$16.09
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.99
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.37
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$9.79
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$11.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.5%)
$48.65
(+318%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 19.5%)
$19.85
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 19.5%)
$16.87
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$18.99
(+63%)
Analyst growth 46.6%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$17.27
(+48%)
Market implied 46.6%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$8.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.79
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 3:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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