DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$13.46
0.03 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
+29.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DRVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.05
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.79
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $13.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.96 to $13.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 444.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.64, while resistance sits at $14.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.06 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.64, while resistance sits at $14.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.06 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.96 -
$13.87
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($17.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.96 -
$13.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.06
Wall Street Target
$17.06
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
444.1%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.03
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.61
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$12.21
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$13.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.8%)
$58.49
(+335%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 21.8%)
$24.32
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 21.8%)
$20.67
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$25.53
(+90%)
Analyst growth 72.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$23.21
(+72%)
Market implied 72.8%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$9.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$14.86
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 3:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L O'melia
SELL
46875 shares
2026-01-21
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