DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$12.94
0.08 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
-16.41%
90d:
+3.19%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.89
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.45
16.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.30 to $15.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.18, while resistance sits at $15.00.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+28.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.18, while resistance sits at $15.00.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+28.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.30 -
$15.27
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.4% below Wall St target ($16.61)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.30 -
$15.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.18
Resistance Level
$15.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.96
Wall Street Target
$16.61
(+28.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.53
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.13
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.74
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$12.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$50.16
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 19.7%)
$22.20
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 19.7%)
$18.87
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$20.04
(+55%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$18.22
(+41%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$8.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.31
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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