FTI Consulting (FCN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FCN - FTI Consulting, Inc.

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$137.04
0.88 (0.65%) ▲
5d: -0.71%
30d: -7.45%
90d: -14.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FCN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$275.71
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.20
20.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FCN is currently trading at $137.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.12 to $147.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FCN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $130.45, while resistance sits at $144.60.

Market Sentiment: FCN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.50 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $134.12 - $147.97
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($165.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $134.12 - $147.97
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$8.39 (6.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $130.45
Resistance Level $144.60
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.53
Wall Street Target $165.50 (+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.6%
Profit Margin 6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 15.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $127.17 (-7%)
2-Year Target $118.78 (-13%)
3-Year Target $110.94 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $136.35 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.2%) $347.27 (+155%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 17.2%) $219.10 (+61%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 17.2%) $186.23 (+37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.30
Bull Case $202.34 (+49%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case $183.95 (+35%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case $95.54 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 15.4
Stabilization Target: $167.35 (+22.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.9%
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Last updated: October 12, 2026 10:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced FCN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCN price and gamma walls.

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