Futu (FUTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$105.51
0.01 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
-7.5%
30d:
-7.49%
90d:
-0.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.06
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $105.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.65 to $113.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.84 (+52.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.84 (+52.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$107.65 -
$113.43
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.4% below Wall St target ($160.84)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.65 -
$113.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.50
Resistance Level
$115.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.07
Wall Street Target
$160.84
(+52.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.1 vs 1.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.44
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$91.85
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$85.69
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$104.15
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.1%)
$4019.30
(+3709%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.1, Growth: 27.1%)
$216.47
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 27.1%)
$184.00
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.08
Bull Case
$232.10
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$211.00
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$71.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.1 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$128.24
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 20, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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