FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$123.64
10.91 (9.68%)
▲
5d:
+17.5%
30d:
+24.94%
90d:
-0.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When FUTU Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FUTU is 11.9% above its trading range ($110.45). Market expects -1.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FUTU is 11.9% above its trading range ($110.45). Market expects -1.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.27
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $123.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.01 to $110.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.3) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.92 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.92 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$99.01 -
$110.45
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($155.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.01 -
$110.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.85
Resistance Level
$124.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.29
Wall Street Target
$155.92
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.7%
Profit Margin
45.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.66
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$119.72
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$117.80
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$127.86
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.7%)
$4707.03
(+3707%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 34.7%)
$302.51
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 34.7%)
$257.13
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.30
Bull Case
$248.01
(+101%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$225.46
(+82%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$76.66
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.20
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 21, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Capital Markets Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Capital Markets by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$31 | 65 BUY |
|
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$164 | 60 HOLD |
|
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$125 | 41 HOLD |
|
CLSK
CleanSpark Inc |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$24 | 66 BUY |
|
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$120 | 48 HOLD |
