GDOT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GDOT - Green Dot Corporation

FINANCE SERVICES
$13.44
0.10 (0.75%) ▲
5d: -0.67%
30d: +2.6%
90d: +4.51%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: GDOT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.30
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GDOT is currently trading at $13.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.21 to $13.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GDOT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+20.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $13.21 - $13.48
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 40th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.12)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.21 - $13.48
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$1.06 (7.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.55
Resistance Level $13.59
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.96
Wall Street Target $16.13 (+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 97.9%
Profit Margin -1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 9.0 vs 7.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.06 (+5%)
2-Year Target $14.70 (+9%)
3-Year Target $15.38 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $13.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.2%) $34.03 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 4.2%) $15.19 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 4.2%) $12.91 (-4%)
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GDOT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GDOT price and gamma walls.

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