Gates Industrial (GTES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$26.67
-0.07 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
-3.54%
30d:
+4.06%
90d:
+1.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When GTES Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTES shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GTES shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.28
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $26.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.35 to $27.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 205.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.65, while resistance sits at $28.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.65, while resistance sits at $28.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.25 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.35 -
$27.03
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($33.25)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.35 -
$27.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.65
Resistance Level
$28.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.82
Wall Street Target
$33.25
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.62
(0%)
2-Year Target
$26.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$26.51
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$26.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$58.55
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 15.2%)
$40.74
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$34.63
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$40.26
(+51%)
Analyst growth 36.9%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$36.60
(+37%)
Market implied 36.9%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$18.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$26.82
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 9:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1230 | 48 HOLD |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$481 | 51 HOLD |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$174 | 44 HOLD |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$1155 | 51 HOLD |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc |
BUY
23 analysts |
$741 | 56 HOLD |
