GTES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTES - Gates Industrial Corporation plc
$28.40
0.15 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
-3.34%
30d:
+7.82%
90d:
+8.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.89
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTES is currently trading at $28.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.83 to $28.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.70, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.09 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.70, while resistance sits at $30.34.
Market Sentiment: GTES scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.09 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.83 -
$28.25
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.83 -
$28.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.70
Resistance Level
$30.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.76
Wall Street Target
$33.09
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.94
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.49
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$30.05
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.9%)
$59.02
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$43.05
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 14.9%)
$36.59
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$42.41
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$38.56
(+36%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$19.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 10, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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