HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$37.10
0.30 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
+1.67%
30d:
-0.22%
90d:
-1.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.54
Based on -11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $37.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.97 to $37.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HASI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.71 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HASI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.71 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.97 -
$37.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($49.71)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.4% growth which is achievable
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.97 -
$37.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.90
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.48
Resistance Level
$37.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.68
Wall Street Target
$49.71
(+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
804.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
67.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 12.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.26
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$44.04
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$48.18
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -27.2%)
$31.93
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: -27.2%)
$26.83
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: -27.2%)
$20.42
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.33
Bull Case
$44.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$36.80
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$28.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 16, 2026 10:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
