HLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$12.17
0.01 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-1.46%
30d:
-3.41%
90d:
+6.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $11.52 · last confirmed Sep 3, 2026
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.50
30.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $12.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.79 to $12.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (4.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.41, while resistance sits at $13.00.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.41, while resistance sits at $13.00.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.79 -
$12.67
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.79 -
$12.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.41
Resistance Level
$13.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.95
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 4.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.45
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.78
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$10.14
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$12.06
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 30.2%)
$137.36
(+1029%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 30.2%)
$26.84
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 30.2%)
$22.82
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$24.96
(+105%)
Analyst growth 86.6%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$22.69
(+86%)
Market implied 86.6%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$8.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.47
(+18.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 04, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLF price and gamma walls.
