HLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$12.65
0.50 (4.12%)
▲
5d:
+2.6%
30d:
+7.2%
90d:
-0.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $12.35 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.87
29.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $12.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.88 to $12.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+34.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.88 -
$12.62
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.88 -
$12.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.43
Resistance Level
$12.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.11
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 4.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.03
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.44
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.88
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$12.71
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.2%)
$136.27
(+977%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 30.2%)
$27.90
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 30.2%)
$23.71
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$26.73
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$24.30
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$8.26
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.78
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLF price and gamma walls.
