KMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corp.
$109.31
-0.88 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
-0.36%
30d:
-1.91%
90d:
+11.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.45
10.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMB is currently trading at $109.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.52 to $112.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $106.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$106.52 -
$112.52
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($117.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$106.52 -
$112.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.52
Resistance Level
$115.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.46
Wall Street Target
$117.00
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.15
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$115.07
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$118.06
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.37
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 26.1%)
$157.89
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 26.1%)
$110.17
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 26.1%)
$93.64
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.04
Bull Case
$181.75
(+66%)
Analyst growth 49.9%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$165.22
(+51%)
Market implied 49.9%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$74.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Andrew Scribner
SELL
3049 shares
2026-02-05
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