KMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corp.
$109.31
0.62 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
+10.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 6, 2026 at $109.68 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.35
10.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMB is currently trading at $109.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.66 to $111.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMB scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMB scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$107.66 -
$111.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($118.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 0.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.66 -
$111.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.28
Resistance Level
$111.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$118.60
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.3%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.26
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$115.29
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$118.41
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 56.2%)
$152.98
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 56.2%)
$111.16
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 56.2%)
$94.49
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$178.86
(+64%)
Analyst growth 49.6%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$162.60
(+49%)
Market implied 49.6%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$73.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KMB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KMB price and gamma walls.
