Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$82.91
1.56 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-11.05%
90d:
-11.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $84.14 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026
Strength: 9.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBKR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBKR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.37
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.23
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $82.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.97 to $90.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (28.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.04 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.04 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.97 -
$90.71
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBKR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($104.04)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.97 -
$90.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.50
Resistance Level
$89.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.02
Wall Street Target
$104.04
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
16.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 28.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.59
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.41
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$73.35
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$82.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 22.6%)
$152.71
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.6%)
$121.21
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 22.6%)
$103.03
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$113.18
(+37%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$102.89
(+24%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$55.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.0 to 28.3
Stabilization Target:
$93.78
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 20, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced IBKR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
