Is INTC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, INTC is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of INTC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for INTC to be between $87.98 and $99.65. The current price is $95.80.

What is the analyst price target for INTC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for INTC is $114.88. This implies a potential upside of 19.9% from current levels.

INTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INTC - Intel Corp

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$95.80

4.13 (4.51%) ▲

5d: +7.07%

30d: -4.02%

90d: -3.4%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

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Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $91.67 · last confirmed Sep 4, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$99.32

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.67

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INTC is currently trading at $95.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.98 to $99.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 47.0) compared to its historical average (60.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INTC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.88 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $87.98 - $99.65

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($114.88)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $87.98 - $99.65

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.14

Resistance Level $95.94

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.96

Wall Street Target $114.88 (+19.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.7%

Profit Margin -19.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -8.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 47.0 vs 60.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $88.14 (-8%)

2-Year Target $81.09 (-15%)

3-Year Target $74.60 (-22%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 47→60) $95.63 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 47.0, Growth: 34.8%) $234.90 (+145%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.8%) $101.20 (+6%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 34.8%) $86.02 (-10%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 47.0 to 60.2

Stabilization Target: $122.81 (+28.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +28.2%

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Last updated: September 04, 2026 9:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:56 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

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