KTOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KTOS - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$53.14
0.21 (0.40%)
â˛
5d:
-5.41%
30d:
+21.1%
90d:
-18.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KTOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KTOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTOS is currently trading at $53.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.82 to $60.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 47.4) compared to its historical average (79.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KTOS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.62 (+99.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KTOS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.62 (+99.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.82 -
$60.99
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KTOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 99.5% below Wall St target ($105.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.82 -
$60.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.03
Resistance Level
$67.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.37
Wall Street Target
$105.62
(+99.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
47.4 vs 79.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.64
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$42.87
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47â79)
$64.43
(+22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.4, Growth: 36.7%)
$135.17
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 36.7%)
$57.27
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 36.7%)
$48.68
(-8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (82x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 81.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.65
Bull Case
$63.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 86.1
Base Case
$52.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 82.0
Bear Case
$40.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 73.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 47.4 to 79.1
Stabilization Target:
$88.39
(+67.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+67.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KTOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scot B Jarvis
SELL
5417 shares
2026-04-16
Marie Mendoza
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Phillip D Carrai
SELL
6500 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced KTOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTOS price and gamma walls.
