Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
$413.35
-8.86 (-2.10%)
▼
5d:
-3.9%
30d:
-18.47%
90d:
-33.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When AXON Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AXON shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$513.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$318.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $413.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $426.83 to $549.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.2) compared to its historical average (53.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $408.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $704.11 (+70.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $408.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $704.11 (+70.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$426.83 -
$549.85
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.3% below Wall St target ($704.11)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$426.83 -
$549.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$31.38
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$408.24
Resistance Level
$462.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.20
Wall Street Target
$704.11
(+70.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.2 vs 53.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$374.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$338.54
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$306.38
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→53)
$414.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.2, Growth: 37.8%)
$1080.96
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 37.8%)
$562.50
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 37.8%)
$478.13
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 58.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.11
Bull Case
$499.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 61.1
Base Case
$413.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 58.1
Bear Case
$316.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 52.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.2 to 53.0
Stabilization Target:
$558.83
(+35.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$338 | 76 BUY |
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$274 | 67 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1513 | 54 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$234 | 60 HOLD |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$400 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced AXON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXON price and gamma walls.
