AXON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
$551.90
4.87 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-13.83%
30d:
+23.69%
90d:
+53.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXON is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXON is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$514.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$319.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $551.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $426.59 to $562.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.7) is in line with its historical norms (54.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $486.03, while resistance sits at $665.07.
Market Sentiment: AXON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $670.37 (+22.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $486.03, while resistance sits at $665.07.
Market Sentiment: AXON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $670.37 (+22.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$426.59 -
$562.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($670.37)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$426.59 -
$562.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$486.03
Resistance Level
$665.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.74
Wall Street Target
$670.37
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
51.7 vs 54.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$539.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$531.82
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$524.37
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→54)
$547.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.7, Growth: 37.5%)
$1422.59
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.5%)
$598.88
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 37.5%)
$509.05
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (70x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (52x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 70.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.77
Bull Case
$660.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 73.9
Base Case
$547.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.4
Bear Case
$418.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.7 to 54.0
Stabilization Target:
$570.96
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeri Williams
SELL
157 shares
2026-03-17
Erika Nardini
SELL
198 shares
2026-03-17
Jennifer H Mak
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-02
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