Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock

ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)
$420.37
5.77 (1.39%) ▲
5d: +7.71%
30d: -5.53%
90d: -20.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 9d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 23, 2026 at $416.42 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 6.3/10

Get Alerted When AXON Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXON trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
AXON is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; AXON has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-23.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$511.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$317.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $420.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $403.72 to $454.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.0) compared to its historical average (52.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $426.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AXON scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $681.68 (+62.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $403.72 - $454.91
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 62.2% below Wall St target ($681.68)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $403.72 - $454.91
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $377.00
Resistance Level $426.91
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.00
Wall Street Target $681.68 (+62.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -18.2%
Profit Margin 6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 40.0 vs 52.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $385.06 (-8%)
2-Year Target $352.71 (-16%)
3-Year Target $323.09 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40→52) $420.04 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 40.0, Growth: 37.5%) $1093.77 (+160%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.5%) $543.09 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 37.5%) $461.63 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 58.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.23
Bull Case $507.60 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 61.1
Base Case $420.37 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 58.1
Bear Case $321.58 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 52.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.0 to 52.0
Stabilization Target: $546.51 (+30.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.0%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
See Full Scanner Results »
Technical Signals Check

Is AXON showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for AXON.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
BA
The Boeing Company 		STRONG BUY
29 analysts 		$267 64 BUY
KTOS
Kratos Defense & Securit… 		STRONG BUY
24 analysts 		$98 50 HOLD
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA Inc. 		STRONG BUY
21 analysts 		$102 67 BUY
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc 		STRONG BUY
23 analysts 		$216 54 HOLD
RTX
RTX Corporation 		BUY
24 analysts 		$228 54 HOLD
BA The Boeing Company
64 BUY
KTOS Kratos Defense & …
50 HOLD
RKLB Rocket Lab USA In…
67 BUY
AVAV AeroVironment Inc
54 HOLD
RTX RTX Corporation
54 HOLD

Advanced AXON Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXON price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for AXON

AXON Technical Chart AXON Price Prediction AXON Earnings Date AXON Investment Advisor AXON Fair Price Analyzer AXON Options Advisor AXON Options Chain AXON Options Analysis AXON Competitors
Compare AXON with Peers
AXON vs APP
Which one to buy?
AXON vs HWM
Which one to buy?
AXON vs AVAV
Which one to buy?
AXON vs ANET
Which one to buy?
AXON vs DDOG
Which one to buy?
AXON vs DXCM
AXON vs BBAI
AXON vs DDOG
AXON vs ESLT
Winner: ESLT
HEI vs AXON
AXON vs WRAP
NOC vs AXON
AAPL vs AXON
Winner: AAPL
AXON vs ANET
AXON vs FTAI
Create New Comparison View All Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals