AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
ORDNANCE & ACCESSORIES, (NO VEHICLES/GUIDED MISSILES)
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$315.43
+8.32 (+2.71%)
▲
5d:
+0.78%
30d:
-24.39%
90d:
-47.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$349.13 – $436.12
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.4x
CHEAP
vs 51.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$541.32
+71.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$291.45 / $439.76
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$459.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$285.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $315.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $349.13 to $436.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (51.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $291.45, while resistance sits at $439.76.
Market Sentiment: AXON scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $541.32 (+71.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $291.45, while resistance sits at $439.76.
Market Sentiment: AXON scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $541.32 (+71.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$349.13 -
$436.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$349.13 -
$436.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$291.45
Resistance Level
$439.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.6% below Wall St target ($541.32)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.40
Wall Street Target
$541.32
(+71.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.4 vs 51.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$283.89
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$255.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$229.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→51)
$351.83
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.4, Growth: 32.8%)
$739.54
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.8%)
$439.76
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 32.8%)
$373.80
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 31.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.06
Bull Case
$380.88
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$315.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$241.30
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 51.1
Stabilization Target:
$482.61
(+53.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AXON)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Axon Enterprise reported Q3 results with earnings and revenues beating the year-over-year growth but missing the consensus estimates. The company's Connected Devices and Software & Services segments showed strong growth, but increased memory costs and higher mix of counter-drone equipment affected margins.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong growth in Connected Devices and Software & Services segments
Impact of increased memory costs and higher mix of counter-drone equipment on margins
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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