Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXON - Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock
$479.34
0.49 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-10.93%
30d:
-20.08%
90d:
+7.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $538.15 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXON is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXON is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$514.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$319.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXON is currently trading at $479.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $525.44 to $625.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 45.3) compared to its historical average (53.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $473.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $706.21 (+47.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXON is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $473.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $706.21 (+47.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$525.44 -
$625.67
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.3% below Wall St target ($706.21)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$525.44 -
$625.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$473.25
Resistance Level
$616.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.33
Wall Street Target
$706.21
(+47.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
45.3 vs 53.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$452.98
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$428.06
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$404.52
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→54)
$480.08
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.3, Growth: 37.9%)
$1256.12
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.9%)
$558.89
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 37.9%)
$475.06
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (62x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 62.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.72
Bull Case
$578.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 65.2
Base Case
$479.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 62.1
Bear Case
$366.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 55.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 45.3 to 53.8
Stabilization Target:
$568.88
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AXON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXON price and gamma walls.
