Li Auto (LI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LI - Li Auto Inc. American Depositary Shares
$11.66
0.14 (1.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-10.65%
90d:
-7.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LI is currently trading at $11.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.80 to $12.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (2.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.95 (+36.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.95 (+36.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.80 -
$12.51
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($15.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.1% growth with -15.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.80 -
$12.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.44
Resistance Level
$12.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.14
Wall Street Target
$15.95
(+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.8%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
3.1 vs 2.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.49
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$13.37
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$14.32
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.87
(+2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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