Liberty Latin America (LILAK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LILAK - Liberty Latin America Ltd. Class C Common Stock

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$8.38
0.11 (1.33%) ▲
5d: +4.88%
30d: +0.96%
90d: +1.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LILAK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.48
20.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LILAK is currently trading at $8.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.98 to $8.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LILAK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LILAK scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.20. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $7.98 - $8.61
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($7.20)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.98 - $8.61
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.67
Resistance Level $8.43
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.67
Wall Street Target $7.20 (-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.5%
Profit Margin -2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.29 (-1%)
2-Year Target $8.20 (-2%)
3-Year Target $8.11 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $8.38 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 6321.4%) $44.33 (+429%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 6321.4%) $28.28 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 6321.4%) $24.04 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target: $8.66 (+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.4%
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Last updated: November 01, 2026 6:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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