MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$332.75
-1.94 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-6.11%
30d:
-0.58%
90d:
+23.17%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $332.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $309.22 to $364.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 58.4) compared to its historical average (64.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+18.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $292.72, while resistance sits at $412.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.68 (+18.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$309.22 -
$364.52
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($394.68)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$309.22 -
$364.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$292.72
Resistance Level
$412.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.36
Wall Street Target
$394.68
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
58.4 vs 64.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$321.10
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$309.87
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$299.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58→65)
$332.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.4, Growth: 18.8%)
$557.51
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.8%)
$208.06
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$176.85
(-47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 58.4 to 64.9
Stabilization Target:
$370.03
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-14
Hope F Cochran
SELL
1566 shares
2026-04-01
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
