MongoDB (MDB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$337.57
-28.92 (-7.89%)
▼
5d:
-12.53%
30d:
-14.2%
90d:
+4.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $337.57 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
Get Alerted When MDB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.20
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $337.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $348.68 to $399.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 59.2) is in line with its historical norms (65.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $328.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $449.74 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $328.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $449.74 (+33.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$348.68 -
$399.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.2% below Wall St target ($449.74)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$348.68 -
$399.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$328.15
Resistance Level
$411.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.21
Wall Street Target
$449.74
(+33.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
59.2 vs 65.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$326.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$316.31
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$306.19
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→65)
$337.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 59.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$565.59
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$189.72
(-44%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.8%)
$161.26
(-52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (70x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (59x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 70.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.79
Bull Case
$407.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 73.9
Base Case
$337.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 70.4
Bear Case
$258.24
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 63.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 59.2 to 65.2
Stabilization Target:
$371.74
(+10.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation |
STRONG BUY
56 analysts |
$599 | 47 HOLD |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corporation |
STRONG BUY
43 analysts |
$237 | 56 HOLD |
|
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$120 | 38 SELL |
|
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A … |
STRONG BUY
41 analysts |
$141 | 48 HOLD |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc |
STRONG BUY
55 analysts |
$399 | 40 SELL |
Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
