MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS
$47.29
0.49 (1.05%)
â˛
5d:
-1.72%
30d:
+7.14%
90d:
-8.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.32
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $47.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.21 to $48.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.40, while resistance sits at $49.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.45 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.40, while resistance sits at $49.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.45 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.21 -
$48.21
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MKC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.45)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.21 -
$48.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.40
Resistance Level
$49.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.68
Wall Street Target
$54.46
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.1%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.21
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$43.22
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$41.32
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â17)
$47.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.3%)
$72.51
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 4.3%)
$53.60
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 4.3%)
$45.56
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.62
Bull Case
$29.51
(-38%)
Analyst growth -42.7%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$26.83
(-43%)
Market implied -42.7%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$31.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$54.12
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 01, 2026 12:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKC price and gamma walls.
